Market Musings - 5-3-2022 - FED Watch

PUBLISHED May 5, 2022, 5:16:29 PM       

img
imgStaff Writer

Market musing from George Crawford @GeorgeCrawIN

Tuesday 9:45am - DNOWS Meetup

           What Trades do you have?

          How is your education going?

          Market/Industry/Bitcoin Technicals

          Stock, ETF, Crypto  Alpha Boost Case Studies

image description

Seabrook Investing Discussion 7pm Wednesday

New Age Traders Noon Thursday

  1. High Volatility: VIX > 32. SPX bounced off the 15% Bear Market Correction on Monday. All eyes are on the FOMC Meeting, where a 50 Basis Point Rate hike is expected. Expect markets to maintain this high volatility as Big tech earnings, Inflation, Rate Hikes and Ukraine dominate the news cycle. Omicron, Vaccines and Treatments are eliminating Covid-19 domestically and globally. The new expected SPX range for this week: 4300 top and 3964 bottom.

image description

Sell Put Credit and Call Credit Spreads. Buy Put Calendars, Ghetto Spreads and Butterflies on overbought Stocks and ETFs.

  1. US Dollar and 10 Year Interest Rate:

    The US Dollar rise is pausing after breaching the Pandemic High of 103. Perhaps there will be pausing in rising rates too. While the US Dollar is losing buying Power, it still is the strongest FIAT currency. For now, the US Dollar is a flight to safety as the US and Europe slip into recession. As a result, the 10Y Note Interest hti a high of 3% on Monday. 30 year fixed rate mortgages are at a 4 year high between 5-6%. This is not good for Tech Stocks and Real Estate. Commodities prices on Oil and Wheat remain elevated. Long Term the US Dollar decline is still intact with Fiscal and Monetary stimulus flooding the world with US Dollars.

image description

image description

  1. Crypto Currency: Bitcoin remains range bound between $45,000 and $35,000 in 2022. Mass institutional adoption accelerates. A third country Uzbekistan has legalized Bitcoin mining, trading and payment following in El Salvador’s and CAR’s footsteps. Fidelity will allow their clients to buy Bitcoin soon. Watch for other Corporations, Countries, Investors and Retail investors to jump in Globally. Please continue to Dollar Cost Average into Bitcoin and Ethereum. Start unloading when CBBI.INFO hits 90% to 100%.

    The hottest application areas for Cryptos / Blockchain are Metaverse, Decentralized Finance (DEFI) and Non-Fungible Tokens (NFT). Besides Bitcoin and Ethereum, these momentum coins could represent scalping opportunities: Cardano (ADA), Vechain (VET), Hedera (HBAR), Solana (SOL), Chainlink (Link), Terra (LUNA), AXIE Polygon(Matic) and MANA.

    https://support.tastyworks.com/support/solutions/articles/43000612831-available-cryptocurrencies

image description

  1. Tasty Works Algo Trading System: James at Quiet Foundation

Alpha Boost ideas, sign up HERE:

https://issuu.com/luckbox/docs/2111-luckbox-site/56 Alph Boost Article

If you are new to options or this blog sounds like gibberish, please tryout Tasty Trade’s New 2020 Education. Includes 40 Videos, Testing and you get a certificate of completion at the end of the course.

https://tastytrade.thinkific.com/courses/beginner-options-course

  1. TRADE Log: VIX > 30
  1. Jade Lizards

  2. Put Broken Wing Butterflies -

  3. Put and CallCredit Spreads -

  4. Put Calendars -

  5. Crypto -

image description

  1. Video and Articles

https://theotrade.com/how-much-more-carnage-will-markets-sustain//

How to Create Risk-Free Option Positions - Chris Butler, Former Tastytrade Researcher and Trader https://youtu.be/EFEUbh2CLVI

https://pfnews.substack.com/p/how-to-create-risk-free-option-positions

Chris Rowe: 3 Things You Can Do Right Now to Protect Yourself and Profit from the Coming Bear Market

https://www.facebook.com/truemarketinsidersofficial/videos/500503595043092/

George Crawford's previous musings:



Sound investments
don't happen alone

Find your crew, build teams, compete in VS MODE, and identify investment trends in our evergrowing investment ecosystem. You aren't on an island anymore, and our community is here to help you make informed decisions in a complex world.

More Reads

Recession-Proof Investments

Image

Know Which Industries Always Remain in Demand

Creating Financial Goals

Image

A plan to alleviate and vanquish debt and save for retirement are two of the top financial goals for adults. The information contained here can help set goals, budget, and save.

Always Be Investing (Don't Let the News Scare You)

Image

You Can't "Buy Low, Sell High" if You Sell Into a Recession

Lockheed Martin is a Great Dividend and Space Stock

Image

Lockheed Martin has a dividend yield of 2.5% as of Q2 2022. Let's discuss how LMT has kept a healthy dividend as a leader in space and military technologies.

StockBossUp 'Dark Mode' is looking Fly!

Image

Love how these charts and user content are popping out now on the dark theme. More improvements are coming soon!

ApeCoin's Otherside: Everything you need to know

Image

On the 19th of March, the creators of ApeCoin, Yuga Labs released a teaser trailer of their Metaverse on Twitter–Otherside.

Metamask: Here is Everything you need to know

Image

This guide will explain what Metamask is, how to set up a Metamask account and compare Metamask and Trustwallet.

Biggest Cryptocurrency Heists Ever

Image

This article will explore the Biggest Cryptocurrency Heists recorded ever in history. Let's begin…

Market Musing 4-26-2022, Big Tech Earnings, Prepping for a Bearish Market

Image

Market musings from George Crawford on Big Tech Earnings and Prepping for a Bearish Market

Where to Start with Personal Finance

Image

Dedication to managing money and understanding personal finance begins with the proper mentality.

Is Roblox Still a Buy in Q2 2022?

Image

Is Roblox (RBLX) still a buy, a hold, or a sell? Let's take a look at Q1 2022 to see what's changed for Roblox.

Portfolio Diversification Strategy for Beginners

Image

When you build a diversified portfolio, you are managing the risk of your investments. A diversified portfolio can take bigger risks by mixing in safer investments.

Risk-Return Relationship

Image

Know Your Risk Tolerance and Which Investments Suit Your Style

Blockchain Technology: Everything you need to know

Image

In this article, we will be discussing everything there is to know about Blockchain Technology. Let's dive in…

A Triple Bottom ?

Image

market commentary

Stocks, Mutual Funds, and ETFs

Image

Where to Begin Investing

Why Investing is a Must

Image

Savings Accounts Aren't Enough to Build Wealth

The Investor's Guide To Decentralized Finance

Image

This article will demystify everything there is to know about Decentralized Finance in an ever-changing world.

Market Musing 4-19-2022, Earnings Season, Higher Interest Rates

Image

Market musings from George Crawford on earnings and interest rates