Market Musing 9-19-2022 Fed Watch for 75 Basis Rate Increase

PUBLISHED Sep 26, 2022, 1:51:04 PM        SHARE

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Tuesday 9:45am - DNOWS Meetup

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  • Market/Industry/Bitcoin Technicals
  • Stock, ETF, Crypto Alpha Boost Case Studies

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Seabrook Discussion 7pm Wednesday

New Age Traders Noon Thursday

1). High Volatility: VIX > 27. The Markets are waiting on a 75 basis point Fed Rate Increase on Wednesday. Going forward, Bad Economic news is just bad news for the markets. Could we see a retest of the June lows before the midterm elections? Please keep your hedges on through the Midterm elections. The rise of both the US Dollar and Interest rates are hurting US Markets, Consumers and Businesses. The new expected SPX range for this week: 3900 top and 3757 bottom.

SPX graph

https://traderschoice.net/about-traders-choice/

Mannarino Market Risk Indicator

2. US Dollar and 10 Year Interest Rate:

The US Dollar is hovering 20 year highs near $110. 10Y Note Interest is near 3.5% and 30 year fixed rate mortgages are around 6-6.5%. The Yield curve for the 2 year vs 10 year near 2000 levels. In the past, 2 negative GDP Quarters signaled a recession, but apparently this time is different?!?!? Long Term the US Dollar decline is still intact with Fiscal and Monetary stimulus flooding the world with US Dollars.

DXY Graph

Inverted Yield Curve

3). Crypto Currency: Bitcoin at $18.730 is still range bound. The $24,000 to $18,525 range has lasted 15 weeks. Corporations, Countries, and Institutional investors are accumulating large Bitcoin positions. Please continue to Dollar Cost Average into Bitcoin and Ethereum. Crypto winter will last for another 10 months, as we wait for the next Bitcoin Halvening in 22 months.

https://support.tastyworks.com/support/solutions/articles/43000612831-available-cryptocurrencies

,

BTC Graph

4). Tasty Works Algo Trading System: James at Quiet Foundation

Alpha Boost ideas, sign up https://info.quietfoundation.com/alphaboost

https://issuu.com/luckbox/docs/2111-luckbox-site/56 Alph Boost Article

If you are new to options or this blog sounds like gibberish, please tryout Tasty Trade’s New 2020 Education. Includes 40 Videos, Testing and you get a certificate of completion at the end of the course.

https://tastytrade.thinkific.com/courses/beginner-options-course

5). TRADE Log: VIX > 27

1). Jade Lizards -

2). Put Broken Wing Butterflies - TSLA, GOOGL, SPX

3). Put and Call Credit Spreads - IWM, TSLA (EOD Trade)

4). Put Calendars - SBUX

5). Upside Ghetto Spreads - TSLA, SAVA, TBT

6). Downside Ghetto Spreads - SPY

7). Collars -

8). Weekly Butterflies - SPX

9). Covered Calls -

Trade Mechanics

6). Video and Articles

https://theotrade.com/are-you-prepared-for-the-coming-volatility-shock/

https://traderschoice.net/about-traders-choice/

https://www.tastytrade.com/shows/options-trading-concepts-live/episodes/broken-wing-butterfly-everything-you-need-to-know-09-12-2022



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