Market Musing 9-6-2022, Market Volatility through the Midterms

PUBLISHED Sep 6, 2022, 7:15:10 PM        SHARE

img

Tuesday 9:45am - DNOWS Meetup

  • What Trades do you have?
  • How is your education going?
  • Market/Industry/Bitcoin Technicals
  • Stock, ETF, Crypto Alpha Boost Case Studies

SPX survey

Seabrook Discussion 7pm Wednesday

New Age Traders Noon Thursday

1. High Volatility: VIX > 25.

The Fed strikes Fear into the global markets.** Going forward, Bad Economic news is just bad news for the markets. Could we see a retest of the June lows before the midterm elections? Please keep your hedges on through the Midterm elections. The rise of both the US Dollar and Interest rates are hurting US Markets, Consumers and Businesses. The money printing machines are on full blast with the ECB buying Unlimited Bonds and the US $738 Billion Inflation Reduction Act. The new expected SPX range for this week: 4018 top and 3830 bottom.

SPX chart

Source: https://traderschoice.net/about-traders-choice/

Mannarino Market Risk Indicator

2. US Dollar and 10 Year Interest Rate:

The US Dollar continues to rise near 110 with the EURO below US Dollar Parity. The 10Y Note Interest is above 3% and 30 year fixed rate mortgages are around 6-6.5%. The Yield curve for the 2year vs 10 year near 2000 levels. In the past, 2 negative GDP Quarters signaled a recession, but apparently this time is different?!?!? Long Term the US Dollar decline is still intact with Fiscal and Monetary stimulus flooding the world with US Dollars.

DXY chart

Inverted Yield Curve

3. Crypto Currency:

Bitcoin is hovering around $20,000. Bitcoin has been range bound for 13 weeks between $18,500 and $24,000. Corporations, Countries, and Institutional investors are accumulating large Bitcoin positions. Please continue to Dollar Cost Average into Bitcoin and Ethereum. Crypto winter will last for another 10 months, as we wait for the next Bitcoin Halvening in 22 months. https://support.tastyworks.com/support/solutions/articles/43000612831-available-cryptocurrencies

BTC

4. Tasty Works Algo Trading System: James at Quiet Foundation

Alpha Boost ideas, sign up https://info.quietfoundation.com/alphaboost

https://issuu.com/luckbox/docs/2111-luckbox-site/56 Alph Boost Article

If you are new to options or this blog sounds like gibberish, please tryout Tasty Trade’s New 2020 Education. Includes 40 Videos, Testing and you get a certificate of completion at the end of the course.

https://tastytrade.thinkific.com/courses/beginner-options-course

5. TRADE Log: VIX > 25

1.) Jade Lizards -

2.) Put Broken Wing Butterflies - TSLA*, GOOGL

3.) Put and Call Credit Spreads - IWM

4.) Put Calendars - BITO, F*, XHB, AMD*, PLTR*

6.) Upside Ghetto Spreads - TSLA, SAVA

7.) Downside Ghetto Spreads - SPY*

8.) Collars - F, PLTR

9.) Weekly Butterflies - SPX*

10.) Covered Calls - PDBC

Trade Mechanics

6. Video and Articles

China Is About To Cause A Global Recession

https://youtu.be/pqvYUOTAp_o?t=386

CPI

https://theotrade.com/is-this-relentless-selling-only-the-beginning/

Keeping At IT | ITK with Cathie Wood

https://youtu.be/oe1BnQw2JnQ

https://traderschoice.net/about-traders-choice/

https://www.tastytrade.com/shows/market-measures/episodes/new-lookback-tutorial-07-15-2022

https://www.tastytrade.com/backtest



Sound investments
don't happen alone

Find your crew, build teams, compete in VS MODE, and identify investment trends in our evergrowing investment ecosystem. You aren't on an island anymore, and our community is here to help you make informed decisions in a complex world.

More Reads
Do great stocks go on sale during a down market?
Image

Do great stocks go on sale during a down market? The short answer is: yes!

How to Double Your Returns by Actually Using Simple Strategies
Image

They say the internet changed everything. Well, finally, that change has come to basic investing. It is now easy to double your returns from just a decade ago.

Dividend Stock Watch List: Lanny’s September 2022 Edition
Image

Welcome back to another dividend stock watch list article! The stock market took a nose dive on August 26th, shedding over 3% in some instances on the overall valuation of the stock market.

3 Beaten-Down Dividend Growers for Income Investors
Image

The bear market in 2022 has provided opportunities to buy solid companies at a discount. Fears about a recession and rising interest rates have punished equities.

Kilroy Realty (KRC): Undervalued REIT and 4.2% Yield
Image

The markets had a wild ride down on Friday (8/26/2022). The SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY) saw a 14-point drop, about a 3.4% decline in a single trading day.

NextEra Energy Stock Dividend and Forecast
Image

NextEra Energy Stock remained stable during the June lows and the growth in dividend is expected to grow annually by 10% through 2024.

The 3 Highest Yielding Dividend Aristocrats
Image

Investors that want reliable income and ongoing dividend increases to offset inflation may be very interested in the Dividend Aristocrats.

Recent Stock Purchase II August 2022
Image

With August ending and the markets giving us better buying opportunities, I decided to add to some of my existing positions.

2022 Tobacco Stocks List | The 6 Best Now, Ranked In Order
Image

As a business owner, selling products that have high profit margins along with strong brand awareness and an exceptionally loyal customer base is strongly desirable.

Meta Stock: An Attractive Valuation
Image

According to the long-term forecasts, the worth of Meta's stock will be $272 at the end of 2022 and $360 in 2023.

Growth Investing in American Express Stock
Image

American Express Company is a payment card services provider with world-class products and services. The company has thrived over the years by providing excellent access to products, insights and experiences for their customers.

What Will Microsoft Stock Be Worth in 10 Years?
Image

Microsoft stock has rewarded its shareholders with more than 700% return over the past ten years. It will continue to grow over the next decade as well.

The Best Oil Refiner: Analyzing The Big 4 U.S. Oil Refiner Stocks
Image

Oil refiners have enjoyed an impressive rally since the start of 2021, thanks to the recovery of global consumption of oil products from the pandemic.

Recent Stock Purchase August 2022
Image

How has your summer been going? For me, it is more of the same which simply means making a monthly stock purchase and staying invested no matter how ugly the world economy is looking.

Top 5 Foundation Dividend Stocks for ANY Portfolio [October 2020 Update]
Image

Hey everyone! I was sitting at my kitchen table doing an intense round of push-ups, reading articles and had a thought. I would love to share my point of view on the top 5 foundation dividend stocks that every beginning investor should own.

eBay (EBAY) Stock – A Possible Discounted Stock to Bid On?! | Investing for Passive Income
Image

Let’s dive into a selling and re-selling platform that I use almost every single day. We are talking about eBay, not Amazon nor Facebook. I have used eBay as a reselling platform for more than 10 years.

Chevron (CVX) – Oil and Gas Demise Is Overblown
Image

This Chevron Corporation (CVX) post is my third in a series of posts in which I cover an integrated oil and gas producer as well as summarize the overblown expectations of the demise of the oil and gas industry.

SCHD vs. VYM: Which Dividend ETF Is The Best?
Image

SCHD and VYM are the two best dividend ETFs on the market. They provide a yield of around 3% and have a low cost of ownership. There is plenty of diversification in each fund, but each is designed differently.

Blue Chip Stocks In Focus: Atmos Energy
Image

Atmos Energy can trace its beginnings back to 1906, when it was formed in Texas. Since then, it has grown organically and through mergers to a $16.5 billion market capitalization.

Blue Chip Stocks In Focus: Bristol-Myers Squibb
Image

Bristol-Myers Squibb was created as the result of a merger between Bristol-Myers and Squibb on October 4th, 1989. Bristol-Myers can trace its corporate beginnings back to 1887.

Resources for Publishers
Resources for New Investors
Boosted with BossCoin
Financial Literacy Leaders
user_profile
Tom Hamilton
user_profile
Wise Intelligent
user_profile
Mark Robertson
user_profile
Kevin Matthews II
user_profile
Akeiva Ellis
user_profile
Brendan Dale
user_profile
Kenneth Chavis IV
user_profile
Sharita Humphrey