Market Musing 10-31-2022, Halloween, Will Fed Pivot future Rate Hikes after Wednesday?

PUBLISHED Nov 1, 2022, 8:00:16 PM        SHARE

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Tuesday 9:45am - DNOWS Meetup

  • What Trades do you have?

  • How is your education going?

  • Market/Industry/Bitcoin Technicals

  • Stock, ETF, Crypto Alpha Boost Case Studies

Indy Market Discussion 6:30pm Monday

Seabrook Discussion 7pm Wednesday

New Age Traders Noon Thursday

1. High Volatility: VIX > 26.

The US Markets are waiting on FOMC Rate Hike of 75 basis points on Wednesday. Will Chair Powell will pivot on rate hikes before end of year? Please keep your hedges on through the Midterm elections and perhaps beyond. The new expected SPX range for this week: 4018 top and 3784 bottom.

SPX graph

2. US Dollar and 10 Year Interest Rate:

The US Dollar has stabilized between 112 and 110. 10Y Note Interest is at 4%. 30 year fixed rate mortgages are around 7%. In the past, 2 negative GDP Quarters signaled a recession, but apparently this time is different?!?!? Long Term the US Dollar decline is still intact with Fiscal and Monetary stimulus flooding the world with US Dollars.

DXY Chart

3. Crypto Currency:

Bitcoin at $20,315 is still range bound. The $24,000 to $18,525 range has lasted 4 months. Corporations, Countries, and Institutional investors are accumulating large Bitcoin positions. Please continue to Dollar Cost Average into Bitcoin and Ethereum. Crypto winter will last for another 6 months, as we wait for the next Bitcoin Halving in 16 months. https://support.tastyworks.com/support/solutions/articles/43000612831-available-cryptocurrencies

BTC Chart

4. Tasty Works Algo Trading System: James at Quiet Foundation

Alpha Boost ideas, sign up https://info.quietfoundation.com/alphaboost

https://issuu.com/luckbox/docs/2111-luckbox-site/56 Alph Boost Article

If you are new to options or this blog sounds like gibberish, please tryout Tasty Trade’s New 2020 Education. Includes 40 Videos, Testing and you get a certificate of completion at the end of the course.

https://tastytrade.thinkific.com/courses/beginner-options-course

5. TRADE Log: VIX > 26

1.) Jade Lizards -

2.) Put Broken Wing Butterflies

3.) Put and Call Credit Spreads -TSLA

4.) Put Calendars - AMZN Earnings, BITO

5.) Upside Ghetto Spreads - TBT, SPY

6.) Downside Ghetto Spreads - SPY

7.) Collars - SAVA, TSLA

8.) Weekly Butterflies - SPX

9.) Covered Calls -

10.) Back Ratio’s - XLU

Trade mechanics

6. Video and Articles

Theotrade: A Pivotal Fed Moment for Markets?

https://youtu.be/uYZWxsbsrWw

https://traderschoice.net/about-traders-choice/

theotrade



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