Market Musing 7-18-2022, Dollar dropping, Earning Season is here

PUBLISHED Jul 21, 2022, 1:59:44 PM        SHARE


Tuesday 9:45am - DNOWS Meetup

           What Trades do you have?

          How is your education going?

          Market/Industry/Bitcoin Technicals

          Stock, ETF, Crypto  Alpha Boost Case Studies

SPX Will Move

Seabrook Discussion 7pm Wednesday

New Age Traders Noon Thursday

  1. High Volatility: VIX > 24. SPX overall is bearish, however we have been range bound for the last 3 weeks. The US Markets are rising Monday morning on lower Dollars and better expectations for earnings this quarter. Fed Rate Hike is targeting 100 basis points in July. The new expected SPX range for this week: 3951 top and 3776 bottom.

SPX Chart

Michael Burry Tweet

Sell Put Credit and Call Credit Spreads. Buy Put Calendars, Ghetto Spreads and Butterflies on overbought Stocks and ETFs.

  1. US Dollar and 10 Year Interest Rate:

    The US Dollar is pulling back from 109.294 a 20 year high. A weakening Dollar helps US Markets and Commodities this week. The 10Y Note Interest has stabilized around 3% while 30 year fixed rate mortgages are around 6%. The Yield curve has inverted with 2, 5 & 7 year yields higher than the 10 year. Fednow is forecasting a negative 2% GDP for 2Q/2022. This is a sign of the Stagflation (ie Recession plus Inflation). Long Term the US Dollar decline is still intact with Fiscal and Monetary stimulus flooding the world with US Dollars.


Atlanta Fed GDP estimate

  1. Crypto Currency: Bitcoin range bound between $22,500 to $18,500. Can Bitcoin finally break out of this range? Cryptos too are interest rate sensitive. Long Term and Institutional Investors are using this DIP to Dollar Cost Average into both Bitcoin and Ethereum. Watch for other Corporations, Countries, and Institutional investors to accumulate large Bitcoin positions. Please continue to Dollar Cost Average into Bitcoin and Ethereum. Crypto winter will last for another 12 -15 months, as we wait for the next Bitcoin Halvening in 24 months.


BTC chart

Atlanta Fed GDP estimate

  1. Tasty Works Algo Trading System: James at Quiet Foundation

Alpha Boost ideas, sign up https://info.quietfoundation.com/alphaboost

https://issuu.com/luckbox/docs/2111-luckbox-site/56 Alph Boost Article

If you are new to options or this blog sounds like gibberish, please tryout Tasty Trade’s New 2020 Education. Includes 40 Videos, Testing and you get a certificate of completion at the end of the course.


  1. TRADE Log: VIX > 24
  1. Jade Lizards - AMD, ZM

  2. Put Broken Wing Butterflies - TSLA, GOOGL

  3. Put and Call Credit Spreads - IWM, KWEB,TBT*, UNG

  4. Put Calendars - FFIE, NKE*, XHB, PLTR, DWAC, EWJ, EWG*, BA

  5. Upside Ghetto Spreads - AMZN, TSLA, GOOGL, SAVA, RBLX, ARKG, GOEV

  6. Downside Ghetto Spreads - SPY, QQQ, EWG

  7. Collars - AAPL*, JNJ, F

  8. Weekly Butterflies - SPX 3860 - 3870 (-2) - 3880

  9. Covered Calls - KO, PDBC

  1. Video and Articles

Ray Dalio - The 5 Key Signs of an Empire in Decline



InvestAnswers: Recession Alarm Sounds - On-Chain Technical Analysis


Sound investments
don't happen alone

Find your crew, build teams, compete in VS MODE, and identify investment trends in our evergrowing investment ecosystem. You aren't on an island anymore, and our community is here to help you make informed decisions in a complex world.

More Reads
Stocks vs Real Estate

Exploring Where to Put Your Money

Estimating Future Stock Returns, March 2022 Update

Well, finally the bear market… at 3/31/2022 the S&P 500 was priced to return a trice less than zero in nominal terms.

Calm before the Storm?

The biggest rally in the S&P 500 in three weeks helped lift global equities today.

The Dollar is on its Back Foot

The dollar’s downside correction continues today, helped by hawkish signals from the Reserve Bank of Australia and unnamed sources who have played up the chances of a 50 bp hike by the European Central Bank on Thursday.

7 Ways of Diversifying your Personal Investment Portfolio

Diversification is one of the most important aspects when it comes minimizing risk within an investment portfolio

Focus on Dividends

Piggy has always advocated for individuals and households to consider ways of generating passive income.

Macro Overview for the Week Ahead

Investors will focus on three types of events next week.

Feeling Risky? Marijuana Stocks May Jump From Legislation

Senate Democrats Working on Bill to Decriminalize Marijuana

Paying Off Debt

There are different tactics and strategies to pay off debt easier and faster. The debt snowball method is the best to use

Business and Society

One great discussion topic and area of study has to do with defining exactly what a business is and what its obligations are to society at large

Frenzied Week Ending with a Quieter Tone

After a frenzied week, the markets appear to be going into the weekend more subdued.

Gas Fees: Everything you need to know

You've probably heard about crypto gas fees and their role in the blockchain process. In this post, we'll tell you everything you need to know about it.

The Hundred 2022| Squad & Men’s Team List The Hundred

The Hundred team list 20222 London Spirit, Welsh Fire, Manchester Originals, Northern Superchargers, Oval Invincibles, Trent Rockets, Birmingham Phoenix, Southern Brave


Is Visa stock a buy? Let's discuss why it is a strong buy and why it is not due to the pro-cyclical nature of the stock!

Is Rivian a Buy Right Now?

Take a Look at the Hot New EV Release

Ledger Launches NFT Marketplace, Enterprise Platform, and other Web3 Services

Ledger has announced the launch of a non-fungible token (NFT) marketplace and web3 services platform for enterprises...

Summer Doldrums

market commentary

Will There be a Recession?

June Jobs Report Seems Positive, but Could Trigger Interest Hike

Resources for Publishers
Resources for New Investors

Boosted with BossCoin